Dpl

Total Revenue

€22,638,211

all time

Units Sold

728,073

total quantity

Growth Rate

-57.2%

year over year

Peak Season

May

highest demand month

🚨 Priority Alerts 10

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0050

Jojoba Cleansing Oil 100ml

Forecast is 65.7% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+65.7%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0048

Electric Toothbrush Heads x4

Forecast is 30.9% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+30.9%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0047

Deep Repair Hair Oil 75ml

Forecast is 59.3% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+59.3%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0046

Keratin Leave-In Serum 100ml

Forecast is 55.1% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+55.1%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0030

Retinol Firming Serum 30ml

Forecast is 60.7% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+60.7%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0029

Bamboo Charcoal Cleanser 150ml

Forecast is 44.2% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+44.2%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0026

Charcoal Toothpaste 75ml

Forecast is 64.9% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+64.9%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0025

Brightening Body Serum 200ml

Forecast is 66.2% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+66.2%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0005

Nourishing Shampoo 250ml

4 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+14.2%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0031

Exfoliating Face Scrub 100ml

4 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+16.6%

Item Intelligence	Type	Oct2026	Nov2026	Dec2026	Jan2027	Feb2027	Mar2027	Apr2027	May2027	Jun2027	Jul2027	Aug2027	Sep2027	Total	Growth
SKU_0001 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,765 units/yr ↑11.9% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 46.7% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	152	164	160	185	147	151	166	162	149	159	170	—	1,765	↑ 11.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	—	—	—	—	1,577	-24.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	174	176	205	175	2,097
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	152	164	160	185	147	151	166	162	149	159	170	—	1,765	↑ 11.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	—	—	—	—	1,577	-24.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	174	176	205	175	2,097
SKU_0002 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 2,177 units/yr ↑13.4% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (13% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 47.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	193	160	243	184	189	188	222	201	182	207	208	—	2,177	↑ 13.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	—	—	—	—	1,919	-26.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	215	243	243	222	2,621
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	193	160	243	184	189	188	222	201	182	207	208	—	2,177	↑ 13.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	—	—	—	—	1,919	-26.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	215	243	243	222	2,621
SKU_0003 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 2,699 units/yr ↑13.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (8% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 46.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	239	198	301	303	215	226	230	233	241	271	242	—	2,699	↑ 13.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	—	—	—	—	2,389	-37.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	308	349	315	278	3,835
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	239	198	301	303	215	226	230	233	241	271	242	—	2,699	↑ 13.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	—	—	—	—	2,389	-37.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	308	349	315	278	3,835
SKU_0004 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 2,537 units/yr ↑14.9% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 46.4% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	231	229	182	233	225	215	249	258	239	242	234	—	2,537	↑ 14.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	—	—	—	—	2,208	-32.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	274	281	260	313	3,255
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	231	229	182	233	225	215	249	258	239	242	234	—	2,537	↑ 14.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	—	—	—	—	2,208	-32.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	274	281	260	313	3,255
SKU_0005 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 3,375 units/yr ↑14.2% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 47.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	295	285	216	343	307	357	381	276	333	262	320	—	3,375	↑ 14.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	—	—	—	—	2,955	-29.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	386	302	364	402	4,216
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	295	285	216	343	307	357	381	276	333	262	320	—	3,375	↑ 14.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	—	—	—	—	2,955	-29.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	386	302	364	402	4,216
SKU_0006 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 3,146 units/yr ↑14.7% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (13% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 48.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	242	309	249	202	309	345	326	353	283	273	255	—	3,146	↑ 14.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	—	—	—	—	2,743	-25.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	310	295	272	391	3,691
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	242	309	249	202	309	345	326	353	283	273	255	—	3,146	↑ 14.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	—	—	—	—	2,743	-25.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	310	295	272	391	3,691
SKU_0007 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,815 units/yr ↑12.9% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 45.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	177	177	165	162	156	169	154	173	158	148	176	—	1,815	↑ 12.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	—	—	—	—	1,607	-34.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	206	192	214	182	2,439
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	177	177	165	162	156	169	154	173	158	148	176	—	1,815	↑ 12.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	—	—	—	—	1,607	-34.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	206	192	214	182	2,439
SKU_0008 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 2,714 units/yr ↑13.4% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 46.0% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	227	260	246	238	239	266	273	218	229	250	268	—	2,714	↑ 13.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	—	—	—	—	2,394	-34.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	273	347	353	289	3,632
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	227	260	246	238	239	266	273	218	229	250	268	—	2,714	↑ 13.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	—	—	—	—	2,394	-34.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	273	347	353	289	3,632
SKU_0009 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 2,956 units/yr ↑13.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (13% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 46.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	282	313	305	277	242	271	265	226	284	232	259	—	2,956	↑ 13.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	—	—	—	—	2,615	-30.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	354	293	330	337	3,783
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	282	313	305	277	242	271	265	226	284	232	259	—	2,956	↑ 13.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	—	—	—	—	2,615	-30.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	354	293	330	337	3,783
SKU_0010 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 3,804 units/yr ↑14.6% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 45.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	372	383	357	378	336	366	329	336	290	356	301	—	3,804	↑ 14.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	—	—	—	—	3,320	-32.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	343	444	338	462	4,944
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	372	383	357	378	336	366	329	336	290	356	301	—	3,804	↑ 14.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	—	—	—	—	3,320	-32.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	343	444	338	462	4,944
SKU_0011 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 4,436 units/yr ↑11.5% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 46.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	378	357	382	435	410	386	457	476	372	337	446	—	4,436	↑ 11.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	—	—	—	—	3,977	-26.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	450	391	474	392	5,378
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	378	357	382	435	410	386	457	476	372	337	446	—	4,436	↑ 11.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	—	—	—	—	3,977	-26.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	450	391	474	392	5,378
SKU_0012 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 2,885 units/yr ↓14.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 46.6% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	308	314	311	274	241	277	282	224	251	182	221	—	2,885	↓ 14.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	—	—	—	—	3,353	-25.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	433	306	439	327	4,508
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	308	314	311	274	241	277	282	224	251	182	221	—	2,885	↓ 14.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	—	—	—	—	3,353	-25.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	433	306	439	327	4,508
SKU_0013 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 2,833 units/yr ↑12.2% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 46.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	296	266	243	266	219	270	266	277	266	223	241	—	2,833	↑ 12.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	—	—	—	—	2,526	-27.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	319	255	248	286	3,484
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	296	266	243	266	219	270	266	277	266	223	241	—	2,833	↑ 12.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	—	—	—	—	2,526	-27.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	319	255	248	286	3,484
SKU_0014 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 3,908 units/yr ↑13.2% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 46.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	371	352	303	355	380	400	348	363	375	343	318	—	3,908	↑ 13.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	—	—	—	—	3,452	-34.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	475	433	388	412	5,248
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	371	352	303	355	380	400	348	363	375	343	318	—	3,908	↑ 13.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	—	—	—	—	3,452	-34.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	475	433	388	412	5,248
SKU_0015 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 2,070 units/yr ↑13.7% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 46.0% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	181	188	171	209	174	191	175	182	201	195	203	—	2,070	↑ 13.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	—	—	—	—	1,821	-39.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	246	226	262	231	3,017
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	181	188	171	209	174	191	175	182	201	195	203	—	2,070	↑ 13.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	—	—	—	—	1,821	-39.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	246	226	262	231	3,017
SKU_0016 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,663 units/yr ↑14.8% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 45.7% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	145	147	146	172	154	152	156	155	140	149	147	—	1,663	↑ 14.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	—	—	—	—	1,449	-30.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	181	171	161	212	2,082
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	145	147	146	172	154	152	156	155	140	149	147	—	1,663	↑ 14.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	—	—	—	—	1,449	-30.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	181	171	161	212	2,082
SKU_0017 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,541 units/yr ↑14.8% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 46.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	131	142	146	135	145	155	128	129	139	147	144	—	1,541	↑ 14.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	—	—	—	—	1,342	-37.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	176	172	183	191	2,136
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	131	142	146	135	145	155	128	129	139	147	144	—	1,541	↑ 14.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	—	—	—	—	1,342	-37.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	176	172	183	191	2,136
SKU_0018 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 4,811 units/yr ↑13.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 45.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	448	449	418	391	432	445	422	461	402	457	486	—	4,811	↑ 13.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	—	—	—	—	4,259	-30.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	504	545	583	461	6,117
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	448	449	418	391	432	445	422	461	402	457	486	—	4,811	↑ 13.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	—	—	—	—	4,259	-30.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	504	545	583	461	6,117
SKU_0019 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 3,417 units/yr ↑15.2% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 47.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	250	327	287	362	314	298	290	276	287	362	364	—	3,417	↑ 15.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	—	—	—	—	2,965	-35.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	355	449	468	418	4,578
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	250	327	287	362	314	298	290	276	287	362	364	—	3,417	↑ 15.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	—	—	—	—	2,965	-35.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	355	449	468	418	4,578
SKU_0020 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 1,926 units/yr ↑12.6% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 46.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	190	163	193	188	165	146	179	176	153	198	175	—	1,926	↑ 12.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	—	—	—	—	1,711	-29.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	186	241	213	165	2,419
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	190	163	193	188	165	146	179	176	153	198	175	—	1,926	↑ 12.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	—	—	—	—	1,711	-29.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	186	241	213	165	2,419
SKU_0021 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 1,137 units/yr ↑13.4% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 50.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	76	93	87	77	106	121	128	118	95	128	108	—	1,137	↑ 13.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	—	—	—	—	1,003	-20.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	118	167	113	98	1,262
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	76	93	87	77	106	121	128	118	95	128	108	—	1,137	↑ 13.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	—	—	—	—	1,003	-20.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	118	167	113	98	1,262
SKU_0022 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,821 units/yr ↑25.8% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 49.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	165	139	176	206	155	183	166	178	131	143	179	—	1,821	↑ 25.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	—	—	—	—	1,447	-23.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	149	166	188	230	1,884
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	165	139	176	206	155	183	166	178	131	143	179	—	1,821	↑ 25.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	—	—	—	—	1,447	-23.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	149	166	188	230	1,884
SKU_0023 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,340 units/yr ↑11.9% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 48.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	126	112	133	108	108	124	136	132	112	108	141	—	1,340	↑ 11.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	—	—	—	—	1,198	-26.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	151	141	184	113	1,626
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	126	112	133	108	108	124	136	132	112	108	141	—	1,340	↑ 11.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	—	—	—	—	1,198	-26.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	151	141	184	113	1,626
SKU_0024 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 1,400 units/yr ↑25.8% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (13% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 48.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	102	90	114	157	124	149	151	161	129	116	107	—	1,400	↑ 25.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	—	—	—	—	1,113	-23.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	126	112	101	172	1,450
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	102	90	114	157	124	149	151	161	129	116	107	—	1,400	↑ 25.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	—	—	—	—	1,113	-23.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	126	112	101	172	1,450
SKU_0025 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,494 units/yr ↑66.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (16% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 50.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±15 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	116	130	120	120	162	137	179	188	114	94	134	—	1,494	↑ 66.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	—	—	—	—	899	-13.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	79	64	88	109	1,033
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	116	130	120	120	162	137	179	188	114	94	134	—	1,494	↑ 66.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	—	—	—	—	899	-13.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	79	64	88	109	1,033
SKU_0026 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,243 units/yr ↑64.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (15% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 50.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±20 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	172	172	169	190	274	243	231	164	213	224	—	2,243	↑ 64.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	—	—	—	—	1,360	-13.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	125	159	164	136	1,580
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	172	172	169	190	274	243	231	164	213	224	—	2,243	↑ 64.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	—	—	—	—	1,360	-13.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	125	159	164	136	1,580
SKU_0027 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(arima×52%+Time Series×48%) 📉 Demand Drop 1,351 units/yr ↑12.4% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 51.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	105	110	129	134	174	109	150	132	114	103	—	1,351	↑ 12.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	—	—	—	—	1,202	-15.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	147	120	109	106	1,426
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	105	110	129	134	174	109	150	132	114	103	—	1,351	↑ 12.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	—	—	—	—	1,202	-15.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	147	120	109	106	1,426
SKU_0028 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 980 units/yr ↑22.2% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 50.0% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	70	95	89	87	87	110	92	105	81	86	78	—	980	↑ 22.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	—	—	—	—	802	-16.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	70	105	91	80	957
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	70	95	89	87	87	110	92	105	81	86	78	—	980	↑ 22.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	—	—	—	—	802	-16.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	70	105	91	80	957
SKU_0029 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×51%+Time Series×49%) 📉 Demand Drop 1,944 units/yr ↑44.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 50.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	186	140	180	186	185	196	171	204	175	155	166	—	1,944	↑ 44.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	—	—	—	—	1,348	-19.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	174	137	151	200	1,675
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	186	140	180	186	185	196	171	204	175	155	166	—	1,944	↑ 44.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	—	—	—	—	1,348	-19.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	174	137	151	200	1,675
SKU_0030 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,154 units/yr ↑60.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 49.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±14 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	100	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	106	99	94	—	1,154	↑ 60.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	—	—	—	—	718	-9.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	84	78	73	71	793
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	100	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	106	99	94	—	1,154	↑ 60.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	—	—	—	—	718	-9.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	84	78	73	71	793
SKU_0031 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 872 units/yr ↑16.6% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 82.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	69	46	26	31	34	73	89	147	135	124	98	—	872	↑ 16.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	—	—	—	—	748	-55.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	242	213	168	143	1,681
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	69	46	26	31	34	73	89	147	135	124	98	—	872	↑ 16.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	—	—	—	—	748	-55.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	242	213	168	143	1,681
SKU_0032 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 1,103 units/yr ↑15.5% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (62% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 79.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	85	48	32	34	56	104	133	184	138	163	126	—	1,103	↑ 15.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	—	—	—	—	955	-49.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	212	269	166	151	1,883
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	85	48	32	34	56	104	133	184	138	163	126	—	1,103	↑ 15.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	—	—	—	—	955	-49.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	212	269	166	151	1,883
SKU_0033 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,005 units/yr ↑14.5% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 80.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	64	40	29	28	46	82	127	157	155	133	144	—	1,005	↑ 14.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	—	—	—	—	878	-42.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	205	201	231	118	1,526
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	64	40	29	28	46	82	127	157	155	133	144	—	1,005	↑ 14.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	—	—	—	—	878	-42.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	205	201	231	118	1,526
SKU_0034 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 651 units/yr ↓10.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (68% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 81.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	92	41	18	22	29	53	63	69	114	73	77	—	651	↓ 10.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	—	—	—	—	729	-50.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	277	179	183	114	1,474
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	92	41	18	22	29	53	63	69	114	73	77	—	651	↓ 10.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	—	—	—	—	729	-50.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	277	179	183	114	1,474
SKU_0035 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×56%+Time Series×44%) 📉 Demand Drop 749 units/yr ↑16.5% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 74.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	55	34	21	28	54	49	101	89	109	107	102	—	749	↑ 16.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	—	—	—	—	643	-45.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	163	112	177	110	1,185
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	55	34	21	28	54	49	101	89	109	107	102	—	749	↑ 16.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	—	—	—	—	643	-45.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	163	112	177	110	1,185
SKU_0036 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 669 units/yr ↑12.1% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 84.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	41	24	18	20	35	59	75	117	100	100	80	—	669	↑ 12.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	—	—	—	—	597	-44.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	161	168	138	72	1,075
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	41	24	18	20	35	59	75	117	100	100	80	—	669	↑ 12.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	—	—	—	—	597	-44.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	161	168	138	72	1,075
SKU_0037 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 581 units/yr ↓3.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 78.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	46	30	18	18	36	59	63	74	86	94	57	—	581	↓ 3.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	—	—	—	—	600	-52.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	173	190	138	113	1,272
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	46	30	18	18	36	59	63	74	86	94	57	—	581	↓ 3.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	—	—	—	—	600	-52.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	173	190	138	113	1,272
SKU_0038 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) 📉 Demand Drop 696 units/yr ↑15.4% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 87.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	52	24	18	19	28	60	97	126	102	117	53	—	696	↑ 15.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	—	—	—	—	603	-42.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	155	181	83	82	1,055
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	52	24	18	19	28	60	97	126	102	117	53	—	696	↑ 15.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	—	—	—	—	603	-42.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	155	181	83	82	1,055
SKU_0039 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×55%+Time Series×45%) 📉 Demand Drop 864 units/yr ↑15.5% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 76.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	68	42	26	32	45	82	108	102	132	130	97	—	864	↑ 15.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	—	—	—	—	748	-45.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	223	183	164	129	1,380
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	68	42	26	32	45	82	108	102	132	130	97	—	864	↑ 15.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	—	—	—	—	748	-45.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	223	183	164	129	1,380
SKU_0040 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 594 units/yr ↑13.1% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 79.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	36	26	16	18	34	45	71	100	90	86	72	—	594	↑ 13.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	—	—	—	—	525	-40.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	119	125	103	65	875
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	36	26	16	18	34	45	71	100	90	86	72	—	594	↑ 13.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	—	—	—	—	525	-40.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	119	125	103	65	875
SKU_0041 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×58%+Time Series×42%) 📉 Demand Drop 644 units/yr ↑13.6% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 70.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	75	43	33	21	32	40	70	77	76	88	89	—	644	↑ 13.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	—	—	—	—	567	-38.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	87	141	149	88	917
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	75	43	33	21	32	40	70	77	76	88	89	—	644	↑ 13.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	—	—	—	—	567	-38.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	87	141	149	88	917
SKU_0042 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) 📉 Demand Drop 614 units/yr ↓8.4% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 70.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	72	44	28	18	23	40	58	81	81	88	81	—	614	↓ 8.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	—	—	—	—	670	-49.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	148	180	183	157	1,327
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	72	44	28	18	23	40	58	81	81	88	81	—	614	↓ 8.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	—	—	—	—	670	-49.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	148	180	183	157	1,327
SKU_0043 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 452 units/yr ↓10.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (56% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 71.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	63	37	21	15	22	27	38	60	57	56	56	—	452	↓ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	—	—	—	—	502	-49.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	125	103	116	142	985
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	63	37	21	15	22	27	38	60	57	56	56	—	452	↓ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	—	—	—	—	502	-49.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	125	103	116	142	985
SKU_0044 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 532 units/yr ↓5.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (56% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 68.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	78	48	21	19	21	39	53	56	63	68	66	—	532	↓ 5.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	—	—	—	—	565	-51.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	126	146	154	132	1,164
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	78	48	21	19	21	39	53	56	63	68	66	—	532	↓ 5.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	—	—	—	—	565	-51.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	126	146	154	132	1,164
SKU_0045 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 632 units/yr ↑21.3% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 75.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	55	41	19	20	25	47	53	70	108	95	99	—	632	↑ 21.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	—	—	—	—	521	-46.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	165	119	147	136	975
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	55	41	19	20	25	47	53	70	108	95	99	—	632	↑ 21.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	—	—	—	—	521	-46.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	165	119	147	136	975
SKU_0046 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×64%+Sba×36%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 794 units/yr ↑55.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (13/24 months zero sales, CV: 153%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 153.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Lumpy Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±62 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	50	54	48	56	79	63	78	144	46	66	110	—	794	↑ 55.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	—	—	—	—	512	-4.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	—	75	260	63	537
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	50	54	48	56	79	63	78	144	46	66	110	—	794	↑ 55.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	—	—	—	—	512	-4.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	—	75	260	63	537
SKU_0047 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(sba×56%+Weighted Moving Average×44%) 📉 Demand Drop 524 units/yr ↑59.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (13/24 months zero sales, CV: 116%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 115.6% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 8 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 8 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	36	35	47	58	44	70	70	47	37	32	48	—	524	↑ 59.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	—	—	—	—	329	-26.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	37	—	49	71	449
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	36	35	47	58	44	70	70	47	37	32	48	—	524	↑ 59.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	—	—	—	—	329	-26.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	37	—	49	71	449
SKU_0048 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(sba×66%+Weighted Moving Average×34%) 📉 Demand Drop 267 units/yr ↑30.9% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (9/24 months zero sales, CV: 96%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 96.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Erratic Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 7 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 7 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	17	23	23	30	19	24	17	17	24	45	28	—	267	↑ 30.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	—	—	—	—	204	-67.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	39	37	114	60	620
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	17	23	23	30	19	24	17	17	24	45	28	—	267	↑ 30.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	—	—	—	—	204	-67.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	39	37	114	60	620
SKU_0049 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(seasonal Sba×60%+Sba×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 273 units/yr ↑8.3% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (112% monthly variance) — SBA Seasonal handles intermittent demand with recurring patterns CV: 121.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 7 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 7 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	25	25	22	21	34	15	22	21	27	27	34	—	273	↑ 8.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	—	—	—	—	252	-41.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	87	—	35	25	430
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	25	25	22	21	34	15	22	21	27	27	34	—	273	↑ 8.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	—	—	—	—	252	-41.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	87	—	35	25	430
SKU_0050 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 933 units/yr ↑65.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 93.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 6 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 6 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	56	84	98	92	141	145	67	50	46	49	105	—	933	↑ 65.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	—	—	—	—	563	-40.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	54	48	126	221	945
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	56	84	98	92	141	145	67	50	46	49	105	—	933	↑ 65.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	—	—	—	—	563	-40.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	54	48	126	221	945

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