Dpl

Total Revenue

€26,315,084

all time

Units Sold

842,080

total quantity

Growth Rate

-57.2%

year over year

Peak Season

May

highest demand month

🚨 Priority Alerts 10

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0021

Hyaluronic Acid Serum 30ml

Forecast is 47.9% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+47.9%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0024

Firming Body Cream 200ml

Forecast is 37.0% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+37.0%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0025

Brightening Body Serum 200ml

Forecast is 60.1% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+60.1%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0026

Charcoal Toothpaste 75ml

Forecast is 35.2% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+35.2%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0027

Gum Care Mouthwash 500ml

Forecast is 55.7% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+55.7%

📉 Unusually Low Forecast

SKU_0034

Cooling Leg Gel 150ml

Forecast is 38.0% below last 12M sales. Check for stockout months in history.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

-38.0%

📉 Unusually Low Forecast

SKU_0037

Green Tea Detox Mask 100ml

Forecast is 32.6% below last 12M sales. Check for stockout months in history.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

-32.6%

📉 Unusually Low Forecast

SKU_0043

Biotin Growth Serum 50ml

Forecast is 31.3% below last 12M sales. Check for stockout months in history.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

-31.3%

📉 Unusually Low Forecast

SKU_0044

Scalp Treatment Lotion 100ml

Forecast is 31.5% below last 12M sales. Check for stockout months in history.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

-31.5%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0046

Keratin Leave-In Serum 100ml

4 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+16.6%

Item Intelligence	Type	Jul2026	Aug2026	Sep2026	Oct2026	Nov2026	Dec2026	Jan2027	Feb2027	Mar2027	Apr2027	May2027	Jun2027	Total	Growth
SKU_0001 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,165 units/yr ↑1.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±30 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	194	207	197	184	201	195	225	179	184	202	197	—	2,165	↑ 1.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	176	205	175	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	—	2,133	+0.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	188	188	196	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	174	2,113
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	194	207	197	184	201	195	225	179	184	202	197	—	2,165	↑ 1.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	176	205	175	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	—	2,133	+9.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	188	188	196	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	174	2,113
SKU_0002 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,842 units/yr ↑8.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 24.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±45 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	253	255	236	257	210	323	245	251	250	295	267	—	2,842	↑ 8.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	243	243	222	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	—	2,627	+3.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	191	204	234	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	215	2,542
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	253	255	236	257	210	323	245	251	250	295	267	—	2,842	↑ 8.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	243	243	222	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	—	2,627	+12.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	191	204	234	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	215	2,542
SKU_0003 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,042 units/yr ↓8.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (7% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 23.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±50 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	323	295	260	265	216	336	338	240	252	257	260	—	3,042	↓ 8.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	349	315	278	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	—	3,331	-11.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	287	288	309	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	308	3,777
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	323	295	260	265	216	336	338	240	252	257	260	—	3,042	↓ 8.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	349	315	278	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	—	3,331	-4.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	287	288	309	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	308	3,777
SKU_0004 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,360 units/yr ↑9.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 23.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±44 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	293	286	323	314	311	245	314	303	289	335	347	—	3,360	↑ 9.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	281	260	313	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	—	3,062	-4.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	270	270	279	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	274	3,220
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	293	286	323	314	311	245	314	303	289	335	347	—	3,360	↑ 9.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	281	260	313	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	—	3,062	+4.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	270	270	279	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	274	3,220
SKU_0005 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,485 units/yr ↑11.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (9% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 25.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	333	391	436	400	385	292	463	415	482	515	373	—	4,485	↑ 11.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	302	364	402	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	—	4,023	-1.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	285	344	311	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	386	4,088
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	333	391	436	400	385	292	463	415	482	515	373	—	4,485	↑ 11.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	302	364	402	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	—	4,023	+6.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	285	344	311	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	386	4,088
SKU_0006 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,709 units/yr ↑27.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 26.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	349	329	469	368	478	380	307	470	525	496	538	—	4,709	↑ 27.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	295	272	391	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	—	3,701	+1.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	274	348	310	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	310	3,665
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	349	329	469	368	478	380	307	470	525	496	538	—	4,709	↑ 27.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	295	272	391	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	—	3,701	+11.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	274	348	310	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	310	3,665
SKU_0007 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,319 units/yr ↑5.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.1% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±31 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	221	194	230	229	212	207	200	216	198	221	—	2,319	↑ 5.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	192	214	182	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	—	2,195	-9.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	167	212	188	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	206	2,418
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	221	194	230	229	212	207	200	216	198	221	—	2,319	↑ 5.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	192	214	182	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	—	2,195	-1.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	167	212	188	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	206	2,418
SKU_0008 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,535 units/yr ↑4.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±28 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	324	345	308	292	340	320	310	311	346	356	283	—	3,535	↑ 4.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	347	353	289	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	—	3,383	-2.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	258	297	284	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	273	3,482
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	324	345	308	292	340	320	310	311	346	356	283	—	3,535	↑ 4.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	347	353	289	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	—	3,383	+4.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	258	297	284	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	273	3,482
SKU_0009 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,740 units/yr ↑4.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 23.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	325	357	361	348	389	377	342	299	335	327	280	—	3,740	↑ 4.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	293	330	337	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	—	3,575	-6.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	356	324	338	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	354	3,841
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	325	357	361	348	389	377	342	299	335	327	280	—	3,740	↑ 4.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	293	330	337	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	—	3,575	+0.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	356	324	338	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	354	3,841
SKU_0010 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,607 units/yr ↑0.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 22.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±31 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	417	359	428	448	460	424	449	399	434	390	399	—	4,607	↑ 0.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	444	338	462	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	—	4,564	-5.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	387	359	378	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	343	4,824
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	417	359	428	448	460	424	449	399	434	390	399	—	4,607	↑ 0.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	444	338	462	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	—	4,564	+2.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	387	359	378	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	343	4,824
SKU_0011 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 5,892 units/yr ↑12.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 24.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±51 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	436	549	495	507	478	514	586	552	520	615	640	—	5,892	↑ 12.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	391	474	392	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	—	5,234	-5.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	369	523	494	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	450	5,507
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	436	549	495	507	478	514	586	552	520	615	640	—	5,892	↑ 12.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	391	474	392	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	—	5,234	+4.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	369	523	494	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	450	5,507
SKU_0012 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,524 units/yr ↑2.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 23.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±35 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	449	531	416	419	432	440	388	341	392	399	317	—	4,524	↑ 2.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	306	439	327	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	—	4,425	-4.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	365	426	386	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	433	4,613
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	449	531	416	419	432	440	388	341	392	399	317	—	4,524	↑ 2.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	306	439	327	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	—	4,425	+4.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	365	426	386	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	433	4,613
SKU_0013 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,444 units/yr ↑3.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±39 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	277	297	315	364	324	295	322	265	327	322	336	—	3,444	↑ 3.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	255	248	286	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	—	3,315	-7.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	263	318	318	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	319	3,594
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	277	297	315	364	324	295	322	265	327	322	336	—	3,444	↑ 3.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	255	248	286	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	—	3,315	+2.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	263	318	318	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	319	3,594
SKU_0014 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,510 units/yr ↓3.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 23.4% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±48 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	416	389	391	428	404	350	410	439	462	402	419	—	4,510	↓ 3.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	433	388	412	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	—	4,685	-10.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	419	404	399	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	475	5,237
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	416	389	391	428	404	350	410	439	462	402	419	—	4,510	↓ 3.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	433	388	412	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	—	4,685	-2.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	419	404	399	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	475	5,237
SKU_0015 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,508 units/yr ↓1.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±28 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	238	245	228	219	230	209	256	213	233	214	223	—	2,508	↓ 1.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	226	262	231	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	—	2,540	-18.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	288	270	260	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	246	3,116
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	238	245	228	219	230	209	256	213	233	214	223	—	2,508	↓ 1.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	226	262	231	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	—	2,540	-10.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	288	270	260	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	246	3,116
SKU_0016 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,038 units/yr ↑2.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 22.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±9 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	180	178	200	174	178	176	208	186	183	188	187	—	2,038	↑ 2.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	171	161	212	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	—	1,993	-2.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	171	174	167	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	181	2,050
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	180	178	200	174	178	176	208	186	183	188	187	—	2,038	↑ 2.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	171	161	212	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	—	1,993	+6.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	171	174	167	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	181	2,050
SKU_0017 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,849 units/yr ↓2.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±25 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	173	171	174	157	171	175	162	173	185	153	155	—	1,849	↓ 2.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	172	183	191	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	—	1,888	-11.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	192	175	169	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	176	2,126
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	173	171	174	157	171	175	162	173	185	153	155	—	1,849	↓ 2.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	172	183	191	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	—	1,888	-5.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	192	175	169	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	176	2,126
SKU_0018 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 6,144 units/yr ↑5.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 23.1% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±69 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	584	617	480	577	579	537	504	556	573	544	593	—	6,144	↑ 5.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	545	583	461	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	—	5,848	-3.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	547	576	431	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	504	6,082
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	584	617	480	577	579	537	504	556	573	544	593	—	6,144	↑ 5.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	545	583	461	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	—	5,848	+6.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	547	576	431	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	504	6,082
SKU_0019 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,509 units/yr ↑4.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 25.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±83 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	463	468	402	325	436	379	478	415	394	384	365	—	4,509	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	449	468	418	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	—	4,300	-2.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	433	417	323	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	355	4,416
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	463	468	402	325	436	379	478	415	394	384	365	—	4,509	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	449	468	418	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	—	4,300	+4.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	433	417	323	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	355	4,416
SKU_0020 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,349 units/yr ↑0.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 24.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±22 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	237	214	166	238	201	239	232	204	180	221	217	—	2,349	↑ 0.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	241	213	165	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	—	2,330	-1.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	234	174	166	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	186	2,374
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	237	214	166	238	201	239	232	204	180	221	217	—	2,349	↑ 0.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	241	213	165	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	—	2,330	+7.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	234	174	166	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	186	2,374
SKU_0021 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,042 units/yr ↑47.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 30.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±16 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	175	154	144	147	184	169	150	207	235	248	229	—	2,042	↑ 47.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	167	113	98	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	—	1,381	+20.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	80	92	86	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	118	1,142
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	175	154	144	147	184	169	150	207	235	248	229	—	2,042	↑ 47.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	167	113	98	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	—	1,381	+34.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	80	92	86	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	118	1,142
SKU_0022 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,054 units/yr ↑1.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 29.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±35 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	159	191	213	181	150	192	225	169	199	181	194	—	2,054	↑ 1.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	166	188	230	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	—	2,031	+19.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	105	150	141	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	149	1,696
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	159	191	213	181	150	192	225	169	199	181	194	—	2,054	↑ 1.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	166	188	230	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	—	2,031	+30.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	105	150	141	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	149	1,696
SKU_0023 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,726 units/yr ↑5.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 27.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±23 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	145	181	128	164	143	174	141	140	162	177	171	—	1,726	↑ 5.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	141	184	113	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	—	1,636	+5.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	107	137	113	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	151	1,545
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	145	181	128	164	143	174	141	140	162	177	171	—	1,726	↑ 5.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	141	184	113	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	—	1,636	+15.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	107	137	113	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	151	1,545
SKU_0024 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,052 units/yr ↑37.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 29.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±18 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	139	129	219	152	134	171	234	186	223	225	240	—	2,052	↑ 37.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	112	101	172	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	—	1,498	+12.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	84	105	81	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	126	1,335
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	139	129	219	152	134	171	234	186	223	225	240	—	2,052	↑ 37.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	112	101	172	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	—	1,498	+24.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	84	105	81	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	126	1,335
SKU_0025 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,857 units/yr ↑60.1% vs L12M cap 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 30.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±15 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	93	122	157	151	170	154	154	208	176	230	242	—	1,857	↑ 60.1% cap
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	64	88	109	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	—	1,160	+16.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	78	83	64	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	79	997
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	93	122	157	151	170	154	154	208	176	230	242	—	1,857	↑ 60.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	64	88	109	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	—	1,160	+29.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	78	83	64	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	79	997
SKU_0026 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,459 units/yr ↑35.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 29.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±20 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	201	172	223	199	198	195	219	315	280	266	—	2,459	↑ 35.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	159	164	136	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	—	1,819	+22.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	111	143	113	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	125	1,488
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	201	172	223	199	198	195	219	315	280	266	—	2,459	↑ 35.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	159	164	136	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	—	1,819	+34.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	111	143	113	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	125	1,488
SKU_0027 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(arima×52%+Time Series×48%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,393 units/yr ↑55.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 32.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±42 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	158	147	170	175	203	210	246	257	333	208	286	—	2,393	↑ 55.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	120	109	106	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	—	1,537	+10.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	92	75	135	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	147	1,393
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	158	147	170	175	203	210	246	257	333	208	286	—	2,393	↑ 55.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	120	109	106	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	—	1,537	+23.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	92	75	135	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	147	1,393
SKU_0028 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,108 units/yr ↑2.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 30.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±12 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	99	91	86	77	108	101	99	99	125	104	119	—	1,108	↑ 2.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	105	91	80	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	—	1,078	+23.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	62	60	67	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	70	870
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	99	91	86	77	108	101	99	99	125	104	119	—	1,108	↑ 2.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	105	91	80	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	—	1,078	+35.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	62	60	67	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	70	870
SKU_0029 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×51%+Time Series×49%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,965 units/yr ↑7.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 29.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±38 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	153	162	204	187	137	180	186	185	196	171	204	—	1,965	↑ 7.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	137	151	200	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	—	1,836	+18.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	121	116	126	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	174	1,550
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	153	162	204	187	137	180	186	185	196	171	204	—	1,965	↑ 7.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	137	151	200	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	—	1,836	+30.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	121	116	126	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	174	1,550
SKU_0030 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,105 units/yr ↑17.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 30.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±14 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	86	83	80	101	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	—	1,105	↑ 17.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	78	73	71	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	—	940	+26.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	50	60	64	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	84	745
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	86	83	80	101	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	—	1,105	↑ 17.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	78	73	71	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	—	940	+37.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	50	60	64	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	84	745
SKU_0031 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Forecast Declining 986 units/yr ↓22.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 63.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 22.5% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 22.5% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	170	139	116	69	43	29	35	38	82	100	165	—	986	↓ 22.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	213	168	143	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	—	1,272	-28.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	245	200	174	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	242	1,776
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	170	139	116	69	43	29	35	38	82	100	165	—	986	↓ 22.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	213	168	143	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	—	1,272	-13.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	245	200	174	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	242	1,776
SKU_0032 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 1,266 units/yr ↓17.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (57% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 61.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 17.8% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 17.8% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	221	181	121	86	43	36	38	63	118	151	208	—	1,266	↓ 17.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	269	166	151	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	—	1,541	-22.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	279	273	150	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	212	1,999
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	221	181	121	86	43	36	38	63	118	151	208	—	1,266	↓ 17.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	269	166	151	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	—	1,541	-9.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	279	273	150	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	212	1,999
SKU_0033 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,474 units/yr ↑3.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 60.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±16 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	213	230	137	90	51	46	45	74	132	204	252	—	1,474	↑ 3.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	201	231	118	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	—	1,428	-4.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	192	198	135	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	205	1,501
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	213	230	137	90	51	46	45	74	132	204	252	—	1,474	↑ 3.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	201	231	118	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	—	1,428	+12.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	192	198	135	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	205	1,501
SKU_0034 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 747 units/yr ↓38.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (60% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 63.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 38.0% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 38.0% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	187	171	85	62	20	16	20	25	46	55	60	—	747	↓ 38.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	179	183	114	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	—	1,205	-22.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	239	198	120	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	277	1,555
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	187	171	85	62	20	16	20	25	46	55	60	—	747	↓ 38.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	179	183	114	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	—	1,205	-11.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	239	198	120	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	277	1,555
SKU_0035 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×56%+Time Series×44%) 📉 Forecast Declining 881 units/yr ↓15.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 59.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 15.5% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 15.5% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	142	137	91	60	34	26	34	66	60	123	108	—	881	↓ 15.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	112	177	110	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	—	1,042	-17.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	225	148	107	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	163	1,266
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	142	137	91	60	34	26	34	66	60	123	108	—	881	↓ 15.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	112	177	110	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	—	1,042	-4.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	225	148	107	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	163	1,266
SKU_0036 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,031 units/yr ↑5.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 64.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±7 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	164	135	106	60	30	30	33	58	98	124	193	—	1,031	↑ 5.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	168	138	72	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	—	975	-8.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	136	106	123	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	161	1,062
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	164	135	106	60	30	30	33	58	98	124	193	—	1,031	↑ 5.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	168	138	72	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	—	975	+9.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	136	106	123	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	161	1,062
SKU_0037 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Forecast Declining 702 units/yr ↓32.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 63.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 32.6% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 32.6% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	155	104	79	42	24	20	20	40	65	70	83	—	702	↓ 32.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	190	138	113	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	—	1,041	-15.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	219	93	82	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	173	1,225
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	155	104	79	42	24	20	20	40	65	70	83	—	702	↓ 32.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	190	138	113	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	—	1,041	-3.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	219	93	82	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	173	1,225
SKU_0038 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 999 units/yr ↑5.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 70.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±28 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	181	96	81	73	29	29	30	43	92	150	195	—	999	↑ 5.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	181	83	82	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	—	949	-3.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	149	73	56	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	155	987
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	181	96	81	73	29	29	30	43	92	150	195	—	999	↑ 5.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	181	83	82	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	—	949	+17.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	149	73	56	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	155	987
SKU_0039 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×55%+Time Series×45%) 📉 Forecast Declining 911 units/yr ↓25.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 62.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 25.6% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 25.6% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	167	137	99	63	35	27	33	47	85	112	106	—	911	↓ 25.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	183	164	129	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	—	1,224	-17.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	277	185	125	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	223	1,491
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	167	137	99	63	35	27	33	47	85	112	106	—	911	↓ 25.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	183	164	129	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	—	1,224	-5.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	277	185	125	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	223	1,491
SKU_0040 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 846 units/yr ↑3.4% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 60.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±8 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	131	112	81	48	33	24	29	53	70	110	155	—	846	↑ 3.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	125	103	65	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	—	818	-9.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	127	109	90	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	119	908
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	131	112	81	48	33	24	29	53	70	110	155	—	846	↑ 3.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	125	103	65	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	—	818	+8.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	127	109	90	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	119	908
SKU_0041 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×58%+Time Series×42%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 954 units/yr ↑1.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 53.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±21 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	153	163	104	101	54	46	29	44	56	97	107	—	954	↑ 1.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	141	149	88	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	—	945	+5.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	122	135	103	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	87	899
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	153	163	104	101	54	46	29	44	56	97	107	—	954	↑ 1.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	141	149	88	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	—	945	+20.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	122	135	103	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	87	899
SKU_0042 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,202 units/yr ↑1.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 52.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±19 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	217	198	164	118	67	49	32	41	71	102	143	—	1,202	↑ 1.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	180	183	157	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	—	1,190	-2.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	169	126	123	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	148	1,225
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	217	198	164	118	67	49	32	41	71	102	143	—	1,202	↑ 1.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	180	183	157	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	—	1,190	+10.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	169	126	123	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	148	1,225
SKU_0043 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 593 units/yr ↓31.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (53% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 57.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 31.3% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 31.3% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	99	100	97	65	35	23	16	24	29	41	64	—	593	↓ 31.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	103	116	142	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	—	863	-19.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	159	157	126	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	125	1,066
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	99	100	97	65	35	23	16	24	29	41	64	—	593	↓ 31.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	103	116	142	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	—	863	-7.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	159	157	126	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	125	1,066
SKU_0044 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 683 units/yr ↓31.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (45% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 51.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 31.5% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 31.5% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	113	108	99	85	49	23	21	23	43	58	61	—	683	↓ 31.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	146	154	132	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	—	997	-15.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	156	144	142	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	126	1,174
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	113	108	99	85	49	23	21	23	43	58	61	—	683	↓ 31.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	146	154	132	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	—	997	-6.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	156	144	142	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	126	1,174
SKU_0045 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 978 units/yr ↑6.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 58.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±8 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	147	153	151	86	62	31	32	41	76	86	113	—	978	↑ 6.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	119	147	136	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	—	923	-6.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	150	133	129	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	165	985
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	147	153	151	86	62	31	32	41	76	86	113	—	978	↑ 6.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	119	147	136	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	—	923	+6.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	150	133	129	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	165	985
SKU_0046 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×64%+Sba×36%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,061 units/yr ↑16.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (12/24 months zero sales, CV: 145%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 144.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Lumpy Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±62 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	96	144	85	57	65	63	74	104	82	102	189	—	1,061	↑ 16.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	75	260	63	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	—	910	+381.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	50	—	—	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	—	189
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	96	144	85	57	65	63	74	104	82	102	189	—	1,061	↑ 16.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	75	260	63	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	—	910	+381.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	50	—	—	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	—	189
SKU_0047 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(sba×56%+Weighted Moving Average×44%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 537 units/yr ↑19.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (12/24 months zero sales, CV: 110%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 109.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±52 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	39	51	47	32	32	47	58	44	70	70	47	—	537	↑ 19.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	49	71	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	—	449	+25.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	28	—	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	37	357
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	39	51	47	32	32	47	58	44	70	70	47	—	537	↑ 19.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	49	71	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	—	449	+25.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	28	—	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	37	357
SKU_0048 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(sba×66%+Weighted Moving Average×34%) 📉 Demand Drop 406 units/yr ↓2.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (6/24 months zero sales, CV: 114%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 114.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Erratic Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	66	42	35	25	35	35	46	30	38	27	27	—	406	↓ 2.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	37	114	60	— ⚠️	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	—	415	-41.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	255	15	25	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	39	704
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	66	42	35	25	35	35	46	30	38	27	27	—	406	↓ 2.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	37	114	60	— ⚠️	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	—	415	-41.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	255	15	25	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	39	704
SKU_0049 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(seasonal Sba×60%+Sba×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 401 units/yr ↑28.5% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (118% monthly variance) — SBA Seasonal handles intermittent demand with recurring patterns CV: 111.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 5 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 5 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	39	47	48	36	37	32	30	49	21	32	30	—	401	↑ 28.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	35	25	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	—	312	-49.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	153	97	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	87	620
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	39	47	48	36	37	32	30	49	21	32	30	—	401	↑ 28.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	35	25	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	—	312	-49.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	153	97	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	87	620
SKU_0050 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,120 units/yr ↑16.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 86.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±21 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	64	110	225	48	80	98	92	141	145	67	50	—	1,120	↑ 16.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	48	126	221	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	—	958	+50.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	88	—	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	54	638
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	64	110	225	48	80	98	92	141	145	67	50	—	1,120	↑ 16.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	48	126	221	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	—	958	+50.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	88	—	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	54	638

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