Dpl

Total Revenue

€23,789,377

all time

Units Sold

764,327

total quantity

Growth Rate

-57.2%

year over year

Peak Season

May

highest demand month

🚨 Priority Alerts 10

🕳️ Stockout Distorting Forecast

SKU_0043

Biotin Growth Serum 50ml

3 zero-sales months pulling forecast down -15.8%. May be supply issue, not real decline.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

-15.8%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0050

Jojoba Cleansing Oil 100ml

Forecast is 46.4% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+46.4%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0047

Deep Repair Hair Oil 75ml

Forecast is 43.5% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+43.5%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0046

Keratin Leave-In Serum 100ml

Forecast is 50.1% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+50.1%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0030

Retinol Firming Serum 30ml

Forecast is 56.5% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+56.5%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0029

Bamboo Charcoal Cleanser 150ml

Forecast is 38.6% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+38.6%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0026

Charcoal Toothpaste 75ml

Forecast is 60.0% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+60.0%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0025

Brightening Body Serum 200ml

Forecast is 60.0% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+60.0%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0005

Nourishing Shampoo 250ml

3 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+10.0%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0031

Exfoliating Face Scrub 100ml

3 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+10.0%

Item Intelligence	Type	Sep2026	Oct2026	Nov2026	Dec2026	Jan2027	Feb2027	Mar2027	Apr2027	May2027	Jun2027	Jul2027	Aug2027	Total	Growth
SKU_0001 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,927 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	162	152	164	160	185	147	151	166	162	149	159	170	1,927	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	175	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	—	—	—	1,752	-17.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	196	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	174	176	205	2,118
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	162	152	164	160	185	147	151	166	162	149	159	170	1,927	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	175	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	—	—	—	1,752	-17.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	196	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	174	176	205	2,118
SKU_0002 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 2,355 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 40.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	178	193	160	243	184	189	188	222	201	182	207	208	2,355	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	222	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	—	—	—	2,141	-18.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	234	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	215	243	243	2,633
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	178	193	160	243	184	189	188	222	201	182	207	208	2,355	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	222	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	—	—	—	2,141	-18.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	234	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	215	243	243	2,633
SKU_0003 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 2,934 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (7% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 39.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	235	239	198	301	303	215	226	230	233	241	271	242	2,934	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	278	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	—	—	—	2,667	-31.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	309	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	308	349	315	3,866
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	235	239	198	301	303	215	226	230	233	241	271	242	2,934	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	278	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	—	—	—	2,667	-31.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	309	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	308	349	315	3,866
SKU_0004 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 2,773 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 39.6% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	236	231	229	182	233	225	215	249	258	239	242	234	2,773	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	313	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	—	—	—	2,521	-21.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	279	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	274	281	260	3,221
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	236	231	229	182	233	225	215	249	258	239	242	234	2,773	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	313	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	—	—	—	2,521	-21.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	279	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	274	281	260	3,221
SKU_0005 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 3,693 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 40.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	318	295	285	216	343	307	357	381	276	333	262	320	3,693	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	402	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	—	—	—	3,357	-18.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	311	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	386	302	364	4,125
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	318	295	285	216	343	307	357	381	276	333	262	320	3,693	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	402	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	—	—	—	3,357	-18.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	311	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	386	302	364	4,125
SKU_0006 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,447 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 41.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	301	242	309	249	202	309	345	326	353	283	273	255	3,447	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	391	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	—	—	—	3,134	-13.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	310	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	310	295	272	3,610
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	301	242	309	249	202	309	345	326	353	283	273	255	3,447	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	391	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	—	—	—	3,134	-13.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	310	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	310	295	272	3,610
SKU_0007 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,968 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.1% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	153	177	177	165	162	156	169	154	173	158	148	176	1,968	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	182	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	—	—	—	1,789	-26.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	188	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	206	192	214	2,445
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	153	177	177	165	162	156	169	154	173	158	148	176	1,968	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	182	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	—	—	—	1,789	-26.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	188	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	206	192	214	2,445
SKU_0008 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 2,951 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	237	227	260	246	238	239	266	273	218	229	250	268	2,951	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	289	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	—	—	—	2,683	-26.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	284	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	273	347	353	3,627
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	237	227	260	246	238	239	266	273	218	229	250	268	2,951	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	289	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	—	—	—	2,683	-26.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	284	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	273	347	353	3,627
SKU_0009 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 3,247 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 39.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	291	282	313	305	277	242	271	265	226	284	232	259	3,247	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	337	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	—	—	—	2,952	-22.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	338	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	354	293	330	3,784
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	291	282	313	305	277	242	271	265	226	284	232	259	3,247	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	337	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	—	—	—	2,952	-22.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	338	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	354	293	330	3,784
SKU_0010 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 4,160 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.0% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	356	372	383	357	378	336	366	329	336	290	356	301	4,160	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	462	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	—	—	—	3,782	-22.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	378	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	343	444	338	4,860
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	356	372	383	357	378	336	366	329	336	290	356	301	4,160	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	462	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	—	—	—	3,782	-22.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	378	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	343	444	338	4,860
SKU_0011 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 4,806 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 39.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	370	378	357	382	435	410	386	457	476	372	337	446	4,806	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	392	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	—	—	—	4,369	-20.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	494	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	450	391	474	5,480
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	370	378	357	382	435	410	386	457	476	372	337	446	4,806	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	392	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	—	—	—	4,369	-20.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	494	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	450	391	474	5,480
SKU_0012 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 3,193 units/yr ↓13.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 39.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	308	308	314	311	274	241	277	282	224	251	182	221	3,193	↓ 13.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	327	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	—	—	—	3,680	-19.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	386	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	433	306	439	4,567
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	308	308	314	311	274	241	277	282	224	251	182	221	3,193	↓ 13.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	327	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	—	—	—	3,680	-19.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	386	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	433	306	439	4,567
SKU_0013 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 3,093 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.7% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	260	296	266	243	266	219	270	266	277	266	223	241	3,093	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	286	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	—	—	—	2,812	-20.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	318	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	319	255	248	3,516
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	260	296	266	243	266	219	270	266	277	266	223	241	3,093	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	286	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	—	—	—	2,812	-20.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	318	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	319	255	248	3,516
SKU_0014 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) 📉 Demand Drop 4,250 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 39.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	342	371	352	303	355	380	400	348	363	375	343	318	4,250	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	412	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	—	—	—	3,864	-26.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	399	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	475	433	388	5,235
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	342	371	352	303	355	380	400	348	363	375	343	318	4,250	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	412	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	—	—	—	3,864	-26.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	399	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	475	433	388	5,235
SKU_0015 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 2,257 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	187	181	188	171	209	174	191	175	182	201	195	203	2,257	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	231	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	—	—	—	2,052	-32.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	260	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	246	226	262	3,046
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	187	181	188	171	209	174	191	175	182	201	195	203	2,257	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	231	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	—	—	—	2,052	-32.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	260	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	246	226	262	3,046
SKU_0016 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,827 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 38.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	164	145	147	146	172	154	152	156	155	140	149	147	1,827	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	212	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	—	—	—	1,661	-18.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	167	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	181	171	161	2,037
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	164	145	147	146	172	154	152	156	155	140	149	147	1,827	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	212	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	—	—	—	1,661	-18.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	167	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	181	171	161	2,037
SKU_0017 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,686 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.4% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	145	131	142	146	135	145	155	128	129	139	147	144	1,686	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	191	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	—	—	—	1,533	-27.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	169	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	176	172	183	2,114
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	145	131	142	146	135	145	155	128	129	139	147	144	1,686	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	191	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	—	—	—	1,533	-27.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	169	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	176	172	183	2,114
SKU_0018 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 5,192 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 39.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	381	448	449	418	391	432	445	422	461	402	457	486	5,192	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	461	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	—	—	—	4,720	-22.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	431	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	504	545	583	6,087
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	381	448	449	418	391	432	445	422	461	402	457	486	5,192	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	461	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	—	—	—	4,720	-22.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	431	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	504	545	583	6,087
SKU_0019 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 3,721 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 41.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	304	250	327	287	362	314	298	290	276	287	362	364	3,721	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	418	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	—	—	—	3,383	-24.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	323	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	355	449	468	4,483
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	304	250	327	287	362	314	298	290	276	287	362	364	3,721	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	418	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	—	—	—	3,383	-24.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	323	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	355	449	468	4,483
SKU_0020 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 2,064 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 40.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	138	190	163	193	188	165	146	179	176	153	198	175	2,064	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	165	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	—	—	—	1,876	-22.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	166	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	186	241	213	2,420
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	138	190	163	193	188	165	146	179	176	153	198	175	2,064	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	165	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	—	—	—	1,876	-22.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	166	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	186	241	213	2,420
SKU_0021 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,211 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 44.4% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±16 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	74	76	93	87	77	106	121	128	118	95	128	108	1,211	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	98	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	—	—	—	1,101	-11.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	86	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	118	167	113	1,250
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	74	76	93	87	77	106	121	128	118	95	128	108	1,211	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	98	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	—	—	—	1,101	-11.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	86	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	118	167	113	1,250
SKU_0022 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,012 units/yr ↑20.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 42.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±35 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	165	139	176	206	155	183	166	178	131	143	179	2,012	↑ 20.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	230	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	—	—	—	1,677	-6.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	141	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	149	166	188	1,795
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	165	139	176	206	155	183	166	178	131	143	179	2,012	↑ 20.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	230	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	—	—	—	1,677	-6.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	141	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	149	166	188	1,795
SKU_0023 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,442 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 42.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	102	126	112	133	108	108	124	136	132	112	108	141	1,442	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	—	—	—	1,311	-19.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	113	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	151	141	184	1,626
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	102	126	112	133	108	108	124	136	132	112	108	141	1,442	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	—	—	—	1,311	-19.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	113	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	151	141	184	1,626
SKU_0024 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,542 units/yr ↑20.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 42.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±18 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	142	102	90	114	157	124	149	151	161	129	116	107	1,542	↑ 20.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	172	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	—	—	—	1,285	-5.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	81	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	126	112	101	1,359
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	142	102	90	114	157	124	149	151	161	129	116	107	1,542	↑ 20.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	172	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	—	—	—	1,285	-5.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	81	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	126	112	101	1,359
SKU_0025 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,613 units/yr ↑60.0% vs L12M cap 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (15% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 44.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±15 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	119	116	130	120	120	162	137	179	188	114	94	134	1,613	↑ 60.0% cap
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	109	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	—	—	—	1,008	+2.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	64	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	79	64	88	988
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	119	116	130	120	120	162	137	179	188	114	94	134	1,613	↑ 60.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	109	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	—	—	—	1,008	+2.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	64	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	79	64	88	988
SKU_0026 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,394 units/yr ↑60.0% vs L12M cap 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (15% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 44.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±20 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	151	191	172	172	169	190	274	243	231	164	213	224	2,394	↑ 60.0% cap
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	136	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	—	—	—	1,496	-3.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	113	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	125	159	164	1,557
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	151	191	172	172	169	190	274	243	231	164	213	224	2,394	↑ 60.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	136	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	—	—	—	1,496	-3.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	113	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	125	159	164	1,557
SKU_0027 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(arima×52%+Time Series×48%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,439 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 44.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±42 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	88	91	105	110	129	134	174	109	150	132	114	103	1,439	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	106	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	—	—	—	1,308	-10.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	135	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	147	120	109	1,455
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	88	91	105	110	129	134	174	109	150	132	114	103	1,439	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	106	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	—	—	—	1,308	-10.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	135	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	147	120	109	1,455
SKU_0028 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,058 units/yr ↑20.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 43.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±12 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	78	70	95	89	87	87	110	92	105	81	86	78	1,058	↑ 20.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	80	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	—	—	—	882	-6.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	67	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	70	105	91	944
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	78	70	95	89	87	87	110	92	105	81	86	78	1,058	↑ 20.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	80	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	—	—	—	882	-6.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	67	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	70	105	91	944
SKU_0029 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×51%+Time Series×49%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,145 units/yr ↑38.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 43.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±38 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	201	186	140	180	186	185	196	171	204	175	155	166	2,145	↑ 38.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	200	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	—	—	—	1,548	-3.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	126	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	174	137	151	1,601
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	201	186	140	180	186	185	196	171	204	175	155	166	2,145	↑ 38.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	200	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	—	—	—	1,548	-3.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	126	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	174	137	151	1,601
SKU_0030 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,235 units/yr ↑56.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 43.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±14 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	81	100	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	106	99	94	1,235	↑ 56.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	71	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	—	—	—	789	+0.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	64	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	84	78	73	786
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	81	100	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	106	99	94	1,235	↑ 56.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	71	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	—	—	—	789	+0.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	64	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	84	78	73	786
SKU_0031 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 980 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 75.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	108	69	46	26	31	34	73	89	147	135	124	98	980	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	143	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	—	—	—	891	-48.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	174	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	242	213	168	1,712
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	108	69	46	26	31	34	73	89	147	135	124	98	980	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	143	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	—	—	—	891	-48.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	174	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	242	213	168	1,712
SKU_0032 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 1,217 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (59% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 72.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	114	85	48	32	34	56	104	133	184	138	163	126	1,217	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	151	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	—	—	—	1,106	-41.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	150	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	212	269	166	1,882
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	114	85	48	32	34	56	104	133	184	138	163	126	1,217	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	151	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	—	—	—	1,106	-41.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	150	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	212	269	166	1,882
SKU_0033 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 1,096 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 73.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	64	40	29	28	46	82	127	157	155	133	144	1,096	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	118	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	—	—	—	996	-35.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	135	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	205	201	231	1,543
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	64	40	29	28	46	82	127	157	155	133	144	1,096	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	118	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	—	—	—	996	-35.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	135	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	205	201	231	1,543
SKU_0034 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 769 units/yr ↓8.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (64% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 74.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	118	92	41	18	22	29	53	63	69	114	73	77	769	↓ 8.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	114	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	—	—	—	843	-43.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	120	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	277	179	183	1,480
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	118	92	41	18	22	29	53	63	69	114	73	77	769	↓ 8.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	114	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	—	—	—	843	-43.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	120	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	277	179	183	1,480
SKU_0035 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×56%+Time Series×44%) 📉 Demand Drop 828 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 67.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	79	55	34	21	28	54	49	101	89	109	107	102	828	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	110	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	—	—	—	753	-36.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	107	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	163	112	177	1,182
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	79	55	34	21	28	54	49	101	89	109	107	102	828	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	110	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	—	—	—	753	-36.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	107	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	163	112	177	1,182
SKU_0036 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 736 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 77.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	67	41	24	18	20	35	59	75	117	100	100	80	736	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	72	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	—	—	—	669	-40.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	123	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	161	168	138	1,126
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	67	41	24	18	20	35	59	75	117	100	100	80	736	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	72	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	—	—	—	669	-40.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	123	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	161	168	138	1,126
SKU_0037 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 658 units/yr ↓7.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 72.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	77	46	30	18	18	36	59	63	74	86	94	57	658	↓ 7.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	—	—	—	713	-42.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	82	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	173	190	138	1,241
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	77	46	30	18	18	36	59	63	74	86	94	57	658	↓ 7.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	113	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	—	—	—	713	-42.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	82	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	173	190	138	1,241
SKU_0038 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) 📉 Demand Drop 754 units/yr ↑10.1% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 82.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	58	52	24	18	19	28	60	97	126	102	117	53	754	↑ 10.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	82	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	—	—	—	685	-33.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	56	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	155	181	83	1,029
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	58	52	24	18	19	28	60	97	126	102	117	53	754	↑ 10.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	82	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	—	—	—	685	-33.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	56	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	155	181	83	1,029
SKU_0039 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×55%+Time Series×45%) 📉 Demand Drop 965 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 70.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	101	68	42	26	32	45	82	108	102	132	130	97	965	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	129	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	—	—	—	877	-36.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	125	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	223	183	164	1,376
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	101	68	42	26	32	45	82	108	102	132	130	97	965	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	129	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	—	—	—	877	-36.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	125	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	223	183	164	1,376
SKU_0040 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 649 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 72.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	55	36	26	16	18	34	45	71	100	90	86	72	649	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	65	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	—	—	—	590	-34.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	90	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	119	125	103	900
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	55	36	26	16	18	34	45	71	100	90	86	72	649	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	65	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	—	—	—	590	-34.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	90	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	119	125	103	900
SKU_0041 High Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×58%+Time Series×42%) 📉 Demand Drop 721 units/yr ↑10.1% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 64.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	77	75	43	33	21	32	40	70	77	76	88	89	721	↑ 10.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	88	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	—	—	—	655	-29.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	103	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	87	141	149	932
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	77	75	43	33	21	32	40	70	77	76	88	89	721	↑ 10.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	88	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	—	—	—	655	-29.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	103	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	87	141	149	932
SKU_0042 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) 📉 Demand Drop 710 units/yr ↓14.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 64.3% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	96	72	44	28	18	23	40	58	81	81	88	81	710	↓ 14.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	157	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	—	—	—	827	-36.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	123	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	148	180	183	1,293
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	96	72	44	28	18	23	40	58	81	81	88	81	710	↓ 14.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	157	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	—	—	—	827	-36.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	123	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	148	180	183	1,293
SKU_0043 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 542 units/yr ↓15.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (50% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 65.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	90	63	37	21	15	22	27	38	60	57	56	56	542	↓ 15.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	142	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	—	—	—	644	-33.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	126	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	125	103	116	969
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	90	63	37	21	15	22	27	38	60	57	56	56	542	↓ 15.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	142	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	—	—	—	644	-33.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	126	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	125	103	116	969
SKU_0044 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Demand Drop 622 units/yr ↓10.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (52% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 62.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	90	78	48	21	19	21	39	53	56	63	68	66	622	↓ 10.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	132	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	—	—	—	697	-40.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	142	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	126	146	154	1,174
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	90	78	48	21	19	21	39	53	56	63	68	66	622	↓ 10.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	132	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	—	—	—	697	-40.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	142	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	126	146	154	1,174
SKU_0045 High Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average 📉 Demand Drop 723 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 69.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	55	41	19	20	25	47	53	70	108	95	99	723	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	136	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	—	—	—	657	-32.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	129	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	165	119	147	968
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	55	41	19	20	25	47	53	70	108	95	99	723	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	136	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	—	—	—	657	-32.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	129	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	165	119	147	968
SKU_0046 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×64%+Sba×36%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 863 units/yr ↑50.1% vs L12M cap 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (13/24 months zero sales, CV: 153%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 153.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Lumpy Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±62 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	69	50	54	48	56	79	63	78	144	46	66	110	863	↑ 50.1% cap
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	63	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	—	—	—	575	+21.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	—	75	260	474
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	69	50	54	48	56	79	63	78	144	46	66	110	863	↑ 50.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	63	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	—	—	—	575	+21.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	—	75	260	474
SKU_0047 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(sba×56%+Weighted Moving Average×44%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 574 units/yr ↑43.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (13/24 months zero sales, CV: 116%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 115.6% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±52 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	50	36	35	47	58	44	70	70	47	37	32	48	574	↑ 43.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	71	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	—	—	—	400	+5.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	37	—	49	378
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	50	36	35	47	58	44	70	70	47	37	32	48	574	↑ 43.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	71	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	—	—	—	400	+5.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	37	—	49	378
SKU_0048 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(sba×66%+Weighted Moving Average×34%) 📉 Demand Drop 290 units/yr ↑9.8% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (8/24 months zero sales, CV: 91%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 91.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Erratic Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 6 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 6 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	23	17	23	23	30	19	24	17	17	24	45	28	290	↑ 9.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	60	— ⚠️	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	—	—	—	264	-54.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	25	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	39	37	114	585
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	23	17	23	23	30	19	24	17	17	24	45	28	290	↑ 9.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	60	— ⚠️	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	—	—	—	264	-54.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	25	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	39	37	114	585
SKU_0049 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(seasonal Sba×60%+Sba×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 305 units/yr ↑10.1% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (114% monthly variance) — SBA Seasonal handles intermittent demand with recurring patterns CV: 112.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 6 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 6 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	32	25	25	22	21	34	15	22	21	27	27	34	305	↑ 10.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	25	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	—	—	—	277	-44.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	97	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	87	—	35	502
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	32	25	25	22	21	34	15	22	21	27	27	34	305	↑ 10.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	25	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	—	—	—	277	-44.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	97	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	87	—	35	502
SKU_0050 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,148 units/yr ↑46.4% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 93.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±21 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	215	56	84	98	92	141	145	67	50	46	49	105	1,148	↑ 46.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	221	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	—	—	—	784	+8.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	54	48	126	724
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	215	56	84	98	92	141	145	67	50	46	49	105	1,148	↑ 46.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	221	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	—	—	—	784	+8.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	54	48	126	724

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