Dpl

Total Revenue

€27,593,013

all time

Units Sold

880,940

total quantity

Growth Rate

-57.2%

year over year

Peak Season

May

highest demand month

🚨 Priority Alerts 9

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0021

Hyaluronic Acid Serum 30ml

Forecast is 45.3% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+45.3%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0024

Firming Body Cream 200ml

Forecast is 35.6% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+35.6%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0025

Brightening Body Serum 200ml

Forecast is 58.6% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+58.6%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0026

Charcoal Toothpaste 75ml

Forecast is 34.5% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+34.5%

🚨 Unusually High Forecast

SKU_0027

Gum Care Mouthwash 500ml

Forecast is 52.6% above last 12M sales. Review history for anomalies.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+52.6%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0046

Keratin Leave-In Serum 100ml

4 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+25.1%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0047

Deep Repair Hair Oil 75ml

5 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+19.5%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0048

Electric Toothbrush Heads x4

3 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

-2.0%

⚠️ Unreliable History

SKU_0049

Tongue Cleaner x2

4 months of zero sales in L12M — forecast confidence is low.

Zero months

Fcst vs L12M

+10.0%

Item Intelligence	Type	Jun2026	Jul2026	Aug2026	Sep2026	Oct2026	Nov2026	Dec2026	Jan2027	Feb2027	Mar2027	Apr2027	May2027	Total	Growth
SKU_0001 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,349 units/yr ↑1.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 11.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±30 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	184	194	207	197	184	201	195	225	179	184	202	197	2,349	↑ 1.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	174	176	205	175	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	2,307	+9.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	168	188	188	196	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	2,107
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	184	194	207	197	184	201	195	225	179	184	202	197	2,349	↑ 1.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	174	176	205	175	162	211	209	217	203	174	218	183	2,307	+9.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	168	188	188	196	183	166	158	206	133	172	162	187	2,107
SKU_0002 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,070 units/yr ↑8.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 13.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±45 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	228	253	255	236	257	210	323	245	251	250	295	267	3,070	↑ 8.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	215	243	243	222	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	2,842	+11.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	224	191	204	234	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	2,551
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	228	253	255	236	257	210	323	245	251	250	295	267	3,070	↑ 8.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	215	243	243	222	240	195	298	225	229	227	266	239	2,842	+11.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	224	191	204	234	240	224	257	222	168	239	167	181	2,551
SKU_0003 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,334 units/yr ↓8.4% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (6% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 10.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±50 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	292	323	295	260	265	216	336	338	240	252	257	260	3,334	↓ 8.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	308	349	315	278	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	3,639	-3.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	306	287	288	309	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	3,775
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	292	323	295	260	265	216	336	338	240	252	257	260	3,334	↓ 8.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	308	349	315	278	285	234	367	372	266	281	289	295	3,639	-3.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	306	287	288	309	302	308	283	345	326	370	333	318	3,775
SKU_0004 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,648 units/yr ↑9.4% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 10.4% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±44 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	288	293	286	323	314	311	245	314	303	289	335	347	3,648	↑ 9.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	274	281	260	313	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	3,336	+3.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	274	270	270	279	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	3,220
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	288	293	286	323	314	311	245	314	303	289	335	347	3,648	↑ 9.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	274	281	260	313	294	280	224	311	248	296	267	288	3,336	+3.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	274	270	270	279	276	281	214	245	284	207	312	308	3,220
SKU_0005 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,888 units/yr ↑10.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 13.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	403	333	391	436	400	385	292	463	415	482	515	373	4,888	↑ 10.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	386	302	364	402	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	4,409	+7.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	419	285	344	311	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	4,121
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	403	333	391	436	400	385	292	463	415	482	515	373	4,888	↑ 10.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	386	302	364	402	366	349	263	413	368	424	449	323	4,409	+7.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	419	285	344	311	319	367	321	305	325	440	354	331	4,121
SKU_0006 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 5,067 units/yr ↑26.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 15.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	358	349	329	469	368	478	380	307	470	525	496	538	5,067	↑ 26.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	310	295	272	391	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	4,011	+8.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	331	274	348	310	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	3,686
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	358	349	329	469	368	478	380	307	470	525	496	538	5,067	↑ 26.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	310	295	272	391	301	385	301	239	360	396	368	393	4,011	+8.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	331	274	348	310	353	297	296	281	315	386	236	259	3,686
SKU_0007 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,521 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 9.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±31 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	202	191	221	194	230	229	212	207	200	216	198	221	2,521	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	206	192	214	182	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	2,401	+0.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	178	167	212	188	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	2,390
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	202	191	221	194	230	229	212	207	200	216	198	221	2,521	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	206	192	214	182	221	250	208	182	177	205	183	181	2,401	+0.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	178	167	212	188	216	185	193	211	203	205	192	240	2,390
SKU_0008 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,838 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 9.7% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±28 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	303	324	345	308	292	340	320	310	311	346	356	283	3,838	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	273	347	353	289	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	3,656	+4.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	282	258	297	284	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	3,491
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	303	324	345	308	292	340	320	310	311	346	356	283	3,838	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	273	347	353	289	276	307	277	300	323	326	331	254	3,656	+4.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	282	258	297	284	267	326	319	277	256	319	332	274	3,491
SKU_0009 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,123 units/yr ↑4.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (13% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 12.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±56 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	383	325	357	361	348	389	377	342	299	335	327	280	4,123	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	354	293	330	337	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	3,929	+5.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	229	356	324	338	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	3,716
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	383	325	357	361	348	389	377	342	299	335	327	280	4,123	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	354	293	330	337	327	369	361	331	292	330	325	280	3,929	+5.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	229	356	324	338	306	363	344	292	358	238	238	330	3,716
SKU_0010 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,960 units/yr ↑1.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 9.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±31 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	353	417	359	428	448	460	424	449	399	434	390	399	4,960	↑ 1.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	343	444	338	462	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	4,907	+1.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	333	387	359	378	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	4,814
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	353	417	359	428	448	460	424	449	399	434	390	399	4,960	↑ 1.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	343	444	338	462	442	441	413	470	392	412	352	398	4,907	+1.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	333	387	359	378	437	462	419	412	390	440	413	384	4,814
SKU_0011 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 6,365 units/yr ↑12.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 12.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±51 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	473	436	549	495	507	478	514	586	552	520	615	640	6,365	↑ 12.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	450	391	474	392	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	5,684	+4.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	392	369	523	494	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	5,449
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	473	436	549	495	507	478	514	586	552	520	615	640	6,365	↑ 12.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	450	391	474	392	461	488	430	542	490	511	531	524	5,684	+4.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	392	369	523	494	439	355	471	478	465	382	519	562	5,449
SKU_0012 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 5,099 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 11.5% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±35 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	575	449	531	416	419	432	440	388	341	392	399	317	5,099	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	433	306	439	327	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	4,858	+4.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	452	365	426	386	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	4,632
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	575	449	531	416	419	432	440	388	341	392	399	317	5,099	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	433	306	439	327	369	429	446	415	393	431	499	371	4,858	+4.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	452	365	426	386	375	366	396	355	311	418	404	378	4,632
SKU_0013 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 3,764 units/yr ↑3.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 11.1% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±39 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	320	277	297	315	364	324	295	322	265	327	322	336	3,764	↑ 3.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	319	255	248	286	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	3,634	+1.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	300	263	318	318	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	3,575
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	320	277	297	315	364	324	295	322	265	327	322	336	3,764	↑ 3.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	319	255	248	286	376	313	296	342	228	302	315	354	3,634	+1.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	300	263	318	318	323	308	270	276	280	325	303	291	3,575
SKU_0014 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,958 units/yr ↓3.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 10.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±48 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	448	416	389	391	428	404	350	410	439	462	402	419	4,958	↓ 3.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	475	433	388	412	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	5,160	-1.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	454	419	404	399	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	5,216
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	448	416	389	391	428	404	350	410	439	462	402	419	4,958	↓ 3.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	475	433	388	412	516	442	317	441	465	443	405	423	5,160	-1.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	454	419	404	399	375	403	416	423	462	537	451	473	5,216
SKU_0015 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,752 units/yr ↓1.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 10.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±28 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	244	238	245	228	219	230	209	256	213	233	214	223	2,752	↓ 1.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	246	226	262	231	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	2,786	-11.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	283	288	270	260	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	3,153
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	244	238	245	228	219	230	209	256	213	233	214	223	2,752	↓ 1.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	246	226	262	231	225	215	191	251	232	249	209	249	2,786	-11.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	283	288	270	260	247	281	259	300	227	254	252	232	3,153
SKU_0016 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,210 units/yr ↑1.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 9.2% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±9 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	172	180	178	200	174	178	176	208	186	183	188	187	2,210	↑ 1.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	181	171	161	212	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	2,174	+8.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	139	171	174	167	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	2,008
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	172	180	178	200	174	178	176	208	186	183	188	187	2,210	↑ 1.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	181	171	161	212	166	194	159	200	183	182	181	184	2,174	+8.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	139	171	174	167	163	144	175	195	169	165	176	170	2,008
SKU_0017 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,014 units/yr ↓2.4% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 10.0% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±25 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	165	173	171	174	157	171	175	162	173	185	153	155	2,014	↓ 2.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	176	172	183	191	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	2,064	-2.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	168	192	175	169	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	2,118
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	165	173	171	174	157	171	175	162	173	185	153	155	2,014	↓ 2.4%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	176	172	183	191	151	153	179	180	197	195	160	127	2,064	-2.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	168	192	175	169	175	200	183	156	162	188	156	194	2,118
SKU_0018 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 6,670 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 9.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±69 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	526	584	617	480	577	579	537	504	556	573	544	593	6,670	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	504	545	583	461	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	6,352	+5.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	456	547	576	431	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	6,034
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	526	584	617	480	577	579	537	504	556	573	544	593	6,670	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	504	545	583	461	526	593	516	532	528	505	455	604	6,352	+5.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	456	547	576	431	545	480	482	402	505	559	554	497	6,034
SKU_0019 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 4,890 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 14.9% Seasonality: No Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±83 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	381	463	468	402	325	436	379	478	415	394	384	365	4,890	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	355	449	468	418	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	4,655	+5.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	345	433	417	323	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	4,406
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	381	463	468	402	325	436	379	478	415	394	384	365	4,890	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	355	449	468	418	326	393	398	380	440	390	322	316	4,655	+5.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	345	433	417	323	274	410	302	500	325	336	385	356	4,406
SKU_0020 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,540 units/yr ↑1.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (10% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 12.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±22 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	237	214	166	238	201	239	232	204	180	221	217	2,540	↑ 1.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	186	241	213	165	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	2,516	+5.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	206	234	174	166	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	2,394
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	191	237	214	166	238	201	239	232	204	180	221	217	2,540	↑ 1.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	186	241	213	165	236	199	236	229	201	178	218	214	2,516	+5.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	206	234	174	166	233	197	200	227	198	194	145	220	2,394
SKU_0021 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Arima(1,1,0) ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,178 units/yr ↑45.3% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 23.3% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±16 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	136	175	154	144	147	184	169	150	207	235	248	229	2,178	↑ 45.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	118	167	113	98	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	1,499	+37.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	70	80	92	86	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	1,094
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	136	175	154	144	147	184	169	150	207	235	248	229	2,178	↑ 45.3%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	118	167	113	98	95	125	106	106	135	141	146	149	1,499	+37.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	70	80	92	86	87	98	93	66	97	116	119	90	1,094
SKU_0022 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,203 units/yr ↑1.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 21.4% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±35 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	149	159	191	213	181	150	192	225	169	199	181	194	2,203	↑ 1.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	149	166	188	230	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	2,180	+32.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	100	105	150	141	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	1,647
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	149	159	191	213	181	150	192	225	169	199	181	194	2,203	↑ 1.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	149	166	188	230	177	153	215	215	182	172	152	181	2,180	+32.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	100	105	150	141	138	108	119	177	113	175	164	157	1,647
SKU_0023 Low Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,876 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 18.0% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±23 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	150	145	181	128	164	143	174	141	140	162	177	171	1,876	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	151	141	184	113	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	1,787	+19.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	106	107	137	113	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	1,500
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	150	145	181	128	164	143	174	141	140	162	177	171	1,876	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	151	141	184	113	183	123	163	121	124	134	195	155	1,787	+19.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	106	107	137	113	106	129	142	126	122	150	116	146	1,500
SKU_0024 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,202 units/yr ↑35.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (13% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 22.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±18 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	150	139	129	219	152	134	171	234	186	223	225	240	2,202	↑ 35.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	126	112	101	172	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	1,624	+27.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	68	84	105	81	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	1,277
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	150	139	129	219	152	134	171	234	186	223	225	240	2,202	↑ 35.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	126	112	101	172	117	101	126	169	132	155	153	160	1,624	+27.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	68	84	105	81	121	105	100	115	131	119	137	111	1,277
SKU_0025 Low Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,965 units/yr ↑58.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (12% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 21.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±15 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	108	93	122	157	151	170	154	154	208	176	230	242	1,965	↑ 58.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	79	64	88	109	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	1,239	+24.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	79	78	83	64	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	997
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	108	93	122	157	151	170	154	154	208	176	230	242	1,965	↑ 58.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	79	64	88	109	102	111	98	95	125	103	131	134	1,239	+24.3%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	79	78	83	64	65	92	90	78	119	68	86	95	997
SKU_0026 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,615 units/yr ↑34.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (11% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 20.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±20 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	156	191	201	172	223	199	198	195	219	315	280	266	2,615	↑ 34.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	125	159	164	136	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	1,944	+31.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	119	111	143	113	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	1,482
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	156	191	201	172	223	199	198	195	219	315	280	266	2,615	↑ 34.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	125	159	164	136	173	151	147	142	156	220	192	179	1,944	+31.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	119	111	143	113	127	77	104	123	148	155	124	138	1,482
SKU_0027 Low Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(arima×52%+Time Series×48%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,570 units/yr ↑52.6% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Auto-correlated trending demand — ARIMA(1,1,0) differences the series to remove trend, then applies AR smoothing CV: 25.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±42 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	177	158	147	170	175	203	210	246	257	333	208	286	2,570	↑ 52.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	147	120	109	106	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	1,684	+25.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	97	92	75	135	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	1,343
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	177	158	147	170	175	203	210	246	257	333	208	286	2,570	↑ 52.6%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	147	120	109	106	102	140	144	152	161	219	106	178	1,684	+25.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	97	92	75	135	143	99	93	137	123	117	136	96	1,343
SKU_0028 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,202 units/yr ↑4.7% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 21.7% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±12 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	94	99	91	86	77	108	101	99	99	125	104	119	1,202	↑ 4.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	70	105	91	80	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	1,148	+29.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	87	62	60	67	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	887
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	94	99	91	86	77	108	101	99	99	125	104	119	1,202	↑ 4.7%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	70	105	91	80	75	122	96	95	86	130	94	104	1,148	+29.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	87	62	60	67	56	61	75	74	82	82	83	98	887
SKU_0029 Low Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×51%+Time Series×49%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 2,133 units/yr ↑6.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 22.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±38 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	168	153	162	204	187	137	180	186	185	196	171	204	2,133	↑ 6.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	174	137	151	200	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	2,010	+37.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	83	121	116	126	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	1,459
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	168	153	162	204	187	137	180	186	185	196	171	204	2,133	↑ 6.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	174	137	151	200	179	127	188	164	167	186	148	189	2,010	+37.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	83	121	116	126	126	103	72	157	145	126	147	137	1,459
SKU_0030 Low Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Time Series Decomposition ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,196 units/yr ↑16.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (7% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 21.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±14 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	86	83	80	101	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	1,196	↑ 16.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	84	78	73	71	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	1,024	+41.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	61	50	60	64	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	722
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	91	86	83	80	101	90	114	116	131	103	93	108	1,196	↑ 16.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	84	78	73	71	88	78	97	98	109	85	76	87	1,024	+41.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	61	50	60	64	53	64	71	53	66	62	54	64	722
SKU_0031 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 1,168 units/yr ↓22.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 57.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Demand Shift: Organic volume decline detected. Run-rate consistently lower than Prior 12 Months. Action: Reduce PO volume by 15% vs prior year baseline (vs P12M).
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	182	170	139	116	69	43	29	35	38	82	100	165	1,168	↓ 22.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	242	213	168	143	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	1,514	-15.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	248	245	200	174	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	1,782
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	182	170	139	116	69	43	29	35	38	82	100	165	1,168	↓ 22.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	242	213	168	143	104	47	19	48	59	75	129	267	1,514	-15.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	248	245	200	174	88	75	37	54	54	174	180	253	1,782
SKU_0032 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 1,458 units/yr ↓16.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (55% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 55.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 16.8% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 16.8% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	192	221	181	121	86	43	36	38	63	118	151	208	1,458	↓ 16.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	212	269	166	151	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	1,753	-13.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	242	279	273	150	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	2,029
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	192	221	181	121	86	43	36	38	63	118	151	208	1,458	↓ 16.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	212	269	166	151	103	44	55	51	91	164	181	266	1,753	-13.6%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	242	279	273	150	114	66	38	50	80	163	244	330	2,029
SKU_0033 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,715 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 55.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±16 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	241	213	230	137	90	51	46	45	74	132	204	252	1,715	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	205	201	231	118	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	1,633	+5.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	254	192	198	135	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	1,550
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	241	213	230	137	90	51	46	45	74	132	204	252	1,715	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	205	201	231	118	80	53	47	42	81	123	187	265	1,633	+5.4%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	254	192	198	135	86	42	37	40	57	120	189	200	1,550
SKU_0034 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 1,037 units/yr ↓30.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (52% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 57.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 30.0% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 30.0% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	343	221	202	101	74	23	19	21	17	17	—	—	1,037	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	277	179	183	114	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	1,482	-1.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	222	239	198	120	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	1,500
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	343	221	202	101	74	23	19	21	17	17	—	—	1,037	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	277	179	183	114	96	30	27	55	69	130	153	169	1,482	-1.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	222	239	198	120	49	44	23	55	75	124	147	204	1,500
SKU_0035 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×56%+Time Series×44%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,024 units/yr ↓15.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 53.5% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±30 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	143	142	137	91	60	34	26	34	66	60	123	108	1,024	↓ 15.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	163	112	177	110	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	1,205	-5.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	176	225	148	107	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	1,279
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	143	142	137	91	60	34	26	34	66	60	123	108	1,024	↓ 15.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	163	112	177	110	61	43	26	44	67	61	175	166	1,205	-5.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	176	225	148	107	83	40	29	40	96	90	136	109	1,279
SKU_0036 Medium Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,193 units/yr ↑5.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 58.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±7 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	162	164	135	106	60	30	30	33	58	98	124	193	1,193	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	161	168	138	72	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	1,136	+9.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	141	136	106	123	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	1,042
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	162	164	135	106	60	30	30	33	58	98	124	193	1,193	↑ 5.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	161	168	138	72	59	26	22	30	52	98	119	191	1,136	+9.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	141	136	106	123	52	30	15	32	54	82	108	163	1,042
SKU_0037 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×60%+Weighted Moving Average×40%) 📉 Forecast Declining 850 units/yr ↓30.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 58.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 30.0% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 30.0% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	148	156	104	79	42	24	20	20	40	66	70	81	850	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	173	190	138	113	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	1,214	-3.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	202	219	93	82	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	1,254
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	148	156	104	79	42	24	20	20	40	66	70	81	850	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	173	190	138	113	57	36	18	28	69	122	129	141	1,214	-3.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	202	219	93	82	66	35	37	38	58	101	132	191	1,254
SKU_0038 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,161 units/yr ↑5.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 63.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±28 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	162	181	96	81	73	29	29	30	43	92	150	195	1,161	↑ 5.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	155	181	83	82	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	1,104	+13.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	137	149	73	56	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	969
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	162	181	96	81	73	29	29	30	43	92	150	195	1,161	↑ 5.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	155	181	83	82	71	19	21	26	38	76	145	207	1,104	+13.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	137	149	73	56	54	26	17	32	48	123	133	121	969
SKU_0039 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×55%+Time Series×45%) 📉 Forecast Declining 1,085 units/yr ↓25.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 56.6% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 25.0% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 25.0% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	174	167	137	99	63	35	27	33	47	85	112	106	1,085	↓ 25.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	223	183	164	129	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	1,447	-2.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	208	277	185	125	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	1,476
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	174	167	137	99	63	35	27	33	47	85	112	106	1,085	↓ 25.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	223	183	164	129	82	48	18	47	65	152	157	179	1,447	-2.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	208	277	185	125	84	44	33	45	72	75	188	140	1,476
SKU_0040 Medium Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 982 units/yr ↑4.8% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 55.1% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±8 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	136	131	112	81	48	33	24	29	53	70	110	155	982	↑ 4.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	119	125	103	65	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	937	+0.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	147	127	109	90	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	936
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	136	131	112	81	48	33	24	29	53	70	110	155	982	↑ 4.8%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	119	125	103	65	51	30	25	31	49	70	104	165	937	+0.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	147	127	109	90	41	32	17	24	52	64	104	129	936
SKU_0041 Medium Volatility LumiSkin 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×58%+Time Series×42%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,083 units/yr ↑4.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 48.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±21 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	129	153	163	104	101	54	46	29	44	56	97	107	1,083	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	87	141	149	88	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	1,032	+7.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	152	122	135	103	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	964
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	129	153	163	104	101	54	46	29	44	56	97	107	1,083	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	87	141	149	88	101	48	44	35	48	51	100	140	1,032	+7.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	152	122	135	103	76	54	40	17	37	63	100	65	964
SKU_0042 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Ensemble(time Series×54%+Weighted Moving Average×46%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,407 units/yr ↑5.2% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Trending seasonal demand — Time Series decomposition captures level, trend, and seasonality simultaneously CV: 46.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±19 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	212	227	207	171	124	70	52	33	41	63	89	118	1,407	↑ 5.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	148	180	183	157	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	1,338	+6.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	183	169	126	123	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	1,260
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	212	227	207	171	124	70	52	33	41	63	89	118	1,407	↑ 5.2%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	148	180	183	157	113	62	61	24	40	90	114	166	1,338	+6.2%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	183	169	126	123	109	76	38	45	56	61	121	153	1,260
SKU_0043 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 692 units/yr ↓30.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (50% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 50.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 30.0% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 30.0% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	99	99	100	97	65	35	23	16	24	29	41	64	692	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	125	103	116	142	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	988	-7.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	129	159	157	126	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	1,070
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	99	99	100	97	65	35	23	16	24	29	41	64	692	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	125	103	116	142	113	56	35	20	34	58	66	120	988	-7.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	129	159	157	126	77	49	34	31	47	46	84	131	1,070
SKU_0044 Medium Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Time Series Decomposition 📉 Forecast Declining 786 units/yr ↓30.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (43% monthly variance) — Decomposition captures recurring patterns CV: 45.0% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis 📉 Forecast Declining: Algorithm projects a 30.0% decrease despite a stable L12M baseline. Review recent monthly trend before placing purchase orders. Action: Review recent trend — algorithm projects 30.0% decline. Consider manual adjustment before placing POs.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	103	113	108	99	85	49	23	21	23	43	58	61	786	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	126	146	154	132	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	1,123	-5.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	140	156	144	142	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	1,188
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	103	113	108	99	85	49	23	21	23	43	58	61	786	↓ 30.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	126	146	154	132	120	75	37	31	41	72	88	101	1,123	-5.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	140	156	144	142	121	69	33	35	33	74	117	124	1,188
SKU_0045 Medium Volatility PureBody 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,141 units/yr ↑4.9% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 52.7% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±8 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	163	147	153	151	86	62	31	32	41	76	86	113	1,141	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	165	119	147	136	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	1,088	+13.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	143	150	133	129	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	963
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	163	147	153	151	86	62	31	32	41	76	86	113	1,141	↑ 4.9%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	165	119	147	136	93	60	28	32	38	67	82	121	1,088	+13.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	143	150	133	129	59	50	26	25	34	66	70	78	963
SKU_0046 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(weighted Moving Average×64%+Sba×36%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,138 units/yr ↑25.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (11/24 months zero sales, CV: 136%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 135.8% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Lumpy Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±62 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	77	96	144	85	57	65	63	74	104	82	102	189	1,138	↑ 25.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	75	260	63	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	910	+262.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	62	50	—	—	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	251
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	77	96	144	85	57	65	63	74	104	82	102	189	1,138	↑ 25.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	—	75	260	63	26	72	—	—	144	— ⚠️	82	188	910	+262.5%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	62	50	—	—	—	—	27	40	72	—	—	—	251
SKU_0047 High Volatility VitaHair 🤖 Ensemble(sba×56%+Weighted Moving Average×44%) ✅ Healthy Baseline 581 units/yr ↑19.5% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (12/24 months zero sales, CV: 110%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 109.8% Seasonality: No Trend: Yes Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±52 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	44	39	51	47	32	32	47	58	44	70	70	47	581	↑ 19.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	37	— ⚠️	49	71	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	486	+51.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	28	—	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	320
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	44	39	51	47	32	32	47	58	44	70	70	47	581	↑ 19.5%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	37	— ⚠️	49	71	—	—	72	111	— ⚠️	83	63	—	486	+51.9%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	28	—	—	—	—	—	63	69	90	70	320
SKU_0048 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(sba×66%+Weighted Moving Average×34%) 📉 Demand Drop 445 units/yr ↓2.0% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Intermittent demand (5/24 months zero sales, CV: 106%) — SBA handles sporadic patterns without seasonal distortion CV: 106.4% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Erratic Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 3 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 3 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	39	66	42	35	25	35	35	46	30	38	27	27	445	↓ 2.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	39	37	114	60	— ⚠️	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	454	-37.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	65	255	15	25	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	730
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	39	66	42	35	25	35	35	46	30	38	27	27	445	↓ 2.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	39	37	114	60	— ⚠️	28	46	40	— ⚠️	50	— ⚠️	40	454	-37.8%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	65	255	15	25	—	60	44	114	58	54	40	—	730
SKU_0049 High Volatility AquaFresh 🤖 Ensemble(seasonal Sba×60%+Sba×40%) 📉 Demand Drop 439 units/yr ↑10.0% vs L12M ⚠️ Guardrail Applied 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Clear seasonality detected (118% monthly variance) — SBA Seasonal handles intermittent demand with recurring patterns CV: 111.2% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Stable Pattern: Intermittent Root Cause Analysis ⚠️ Data Gap: 4 of 12 L12M months have no data. Apparent decline may reflect missing records, not lost demand. Verify stock availability before reducing orders. Action: Verify stock availability — 4 missing L12M months may be distorting the decline signal.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	38	39	47	48	36	37	32	30	49	21	32	30	439	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	87	— ⚠️	35	25	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	399	-25.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	153	97	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	533
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	38	39	47	48	36	37	32	30	49	21	32	30	439	↑ 10.0%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	87	— ⚠️	35	25	77	45	— ⚠️	55	— ⚠️	20	— ⚠️	55	399	-25.1%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	—	—	153	97	—	35	60	—	124	—	64	—	533
SKU_0050 High Volatility NaturGlow 🤖 Weighted Moving Average ✅ Healthy Baseline 1,185 units/yr ↑17.1% vs L12M 🧠 Algorithm Selection Logic Stable demand pattern — Weighted moving average smooths short-term fluctuations with recency bias CV: 82.9% Seasonality: Yes Trend: Yes Pattern: Regular Root Cause Analysis ✅ Healthy Baseline: Demand stable or growing with consistent availability. 📊 Typical forecast error: ±21 units/month Action: Maintain automated replenishment levels.
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	65	64	110	225	48	80	98	92	141	145	67	50	1,185	↑ 17.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	54	48	126	221	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	1,012	+63.0%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	37	—	88	—	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	621
📍 PAR — Paris
Next 12 Months FORECAST	FCST	65	64	110	225	48	80	98	92	141	145	67	50	1,185	↑ 17.1%
Last 12 Months ACTUALS	L12M	54	48	126	221	34	82	96	72	137	142	—	—	1,012	+108.7%
Prior 12 Months ACTUALS	P12M	37	—	88	—	60	76	—	108	141	—	64	47	621

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